Chiba Lotte Marines

2 - 7

Nippon Ham Fighters

Wed, Jul 8, 2026 09:00 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 0%
Away: 60%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.08 - 1.96)
HOMETEAM: 48%
1%
AWAYTEAM: 51%

Chiba Lotte Marines (Fact Index 2.08): Expected Win % is 48%, compared to a 53% actual win rate for identical index values.

Nippon Ham Fighters (Fact Index 1.96): Expected Win % is 51%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 53%
0%
AWAY : 47%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 66%
7%
Underdog : 27%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.5 - 4.5 (Model A.)
Chiba Lotte Marines : 56% (▲ 8%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Nippon Ham Fighters : 44% (▼ 7%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.514 | 0.470 | ▼ 0.044
T | Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.561 | 0.548 | ▼ 0.013
H | Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.618 | 0.549 | ▼ 0.069
A | Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.488 | 0.463 | ▼ 0.025
P | Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.667 | 0.800 | ▲ 0.133
P | Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.500 | 0.463 | ▼ 0.037
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.8 - 4.5 (Model B.4)
Chiba Lotte Marines : 42% (▼ 6%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Nippon Ham Fighters : 58% (▲ 7%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 2.5 - 1.5
Chiba Lotte Marines : 38% (▼ 10%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Nippon Ham Fighters : 63% (▲ 12%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 28%
D : 0%
AWAY : 72%

Awayteam = 1.5 Trend:

HOME : 23%
D : 7%
AWAY : 70%

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