Hanshin Tigers

9 - 3

Yakult Swallows

Dominance: Hanshin Tigers make it 2 in a row over Yakult Swallows.

Tue, Apr 7, 2026 09:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.38 - 1.85)
HOMETEAM: 42%
4%
AWAYTEAM: 54%

Hanshin Tigers (Fact Index 2.38): Expected Win % is 42%, compared to a 86% actual win rate for identical index values.

Yakult Swallows (Fact Index 1.85): Expected Win % is 54%, compared to a 14% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 86%
0%
AWAY : 14%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 29%
0%
Underdog : 71%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 3.5 - 4.0 (Model A.)
Hanshin Tigers : 44% (▲ 2%)
0% (▼ 4%)
Yakult Swallows : 56% (▲ 2%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Hanshin Tigers | 0.667 | 0.645 | ▼ 0.022
T | Yakult Swallows | 0.875 | 0.742 | ▼ 0.133
P | Hanshin Tigers | 0.667 | 0.595 | ▼ 0.072
P | Yakult Swallows | 0.833 | 0.733 | ▼ 0.100
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.1 - 3.6 (Model B.4)
Hanshin Tigers : 45% (▲ 3%)
0% (▼ 4%)
Yakult Swallows : 55% (▲ 1%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.4 - 2.9
Hanshin Tigers : 67% (▲ 25%)
0% (▼ 4%)
Yakult Swallows : 33% (▼ 21%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 74%
D : 3%
AWAY : 23%

Hometeam = 1.4 Trend:

HOME : 50%
D : 3%
AWAY : 47%

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