Pittsburgh Pirates

13 - 12

San Francisco Giants

Pittsburgh Pirates Extend Hot Streak to 3 Games.

Tue, Sep 1, 2026 22:40 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.96 - 2.04)
HOMETEAM: 51%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 49%

Weight: [Close] (27.59)
Intensity: [Fierce] (72.41)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Fact Index 1.96):
Expected Win % is 51%, compared to a 70% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 67% in this event.

San Francisco Giants (Fact Index 2.04):
Expected Win % is 49%, compared to a 30% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 33% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Pittsburgh Pirates:
T : 0.486 (0.518 / ▼0.032)
H : 0.515 (0.528 / ▼0.013)
A : 0.458 (0.507 / ▼0.049)
P : 0.667 (0.529 / ▲0.138)

San Francisco Giants:
T : 0.413 (0.446 / ▼0.033)
H : 0.478 (0.472 / ▲0.006)
A : 0.348 (0.421 / ▼0.073)
P : 0.500 (0.540 / ▼0.040)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 67%
0%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 43%
3%
Underdog : 54%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 70%
0%
AWAY : 30%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 43%
3%
Underdog : 54%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.2 - 4.5 (Model A.)
Pittsburgh Pirates : 49% (▼ 2%)
0% (-)
San Francisco Giants : 51% (▲ 2%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.8 - 4.9 (Model B.4)
Pittsburgh Pirates : 43% (▼ 8%)
0% (-)
San Francisco Giants : 57% (▲ 8%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.6 - 2.3
Pittsburgh Pirates : 59% (▲ 8%)
0% (-)
San Francisco Giants : 41% (▼ 8%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 63%
D : 0%
AWAY : 37%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (59%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 63%
D : 0%
AWAY : 37%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 83%
D : 0%
AWAY : 17%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (59%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 80%
D : 0%
AWAY : 20%


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