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Milwaukee Brewers

4 - 3

NLDS - Game 2, MIL leads series 2-0

San Diego Padres

Perfect 7: Milwaukee Brewers Grabs Another Consecutive Win. Conversely, Losing Skid Hits 2 for Struggling San Diego Padres.

Sun, Oct 4, 2026 20:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.89 - 2.13)
HOMETEAM: 53%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 47%

Weight: [Close] (17.24)
Intensity: [Extreme] (82.76)

Milwaukee Brewers (Fact Index 1.89):
Expected Win % is 53%, compared to a 53% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 53% in this event.

San Diego Padres (Fact Index 2.13):
Expected Win % is 47%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 47% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Milwaukee Brewers:
T : 0.638 (0.633 / ▲0.005)
H : 0.683 (0.700 / ▼0.017)
A : 0.593 (0.561 / ▲0.032)
P : 1.000 (0.791 / ▲0.209)

San Diego Padres:
T : 0.564 (0.534 / ▲0.030)
H : 0.639 (0.570 / ▲0.069)
A : 0.488 (0.502 / ▼0.014)
P : 0.667 (0.656 / ▲0.011)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 53%
0%
AWAY : 47%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 53%
0%
Underdog : 47%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 53%
0%
AWAY : 47%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 53%
0%
Underdog : 47%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.7 - 3.8 (Model A.)
Milwaukee Brewers : 57% (▲ 4%)
0% (-)
San Diego Padres : 43% (▼ 4%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.7 - 4.7 (Model B.4)
Milwaukee Brewers : 43% (▼ 10%)
0% (-)
San Diego Padres : 57% (▲ 10%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.6 - 2.4
Milwaukee Brewers : 59% (▲ 6%)
0% (-)
San Diego Padres : 41% (▼ 6%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 63%
D : 0%
AWAY : 37%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (59%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 67%
D : 0%
AWAY : 33%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (59%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 63%
D : 0%
AWAY : 37%


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