Tampa Bay Rays

14 - 4

Houston Astros

Tampa Bay Rays turns their stadium into a fortress with 3 straight home wins. Conversely, Losing Skid Hits 3 for Struggling Houston Astros.

Sun, Sep 13, 2026 17:40 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home team Side

Away team Side

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.75 - 2.33)
HOMETEAM: 57%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 43%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (31.03)
Intensity: [Fierce] (68.97)

Tampa Bay Rays (Fact Index 1.75):
Expected Win % is 57%, compared to a 63% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 60% in this event.

Houston Astros (Fact Index 2.33):
Expected Win % is 43%, compared to a 37% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 40% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Tampa Bay Rays:
T : 0.601 (0.544 / ▲0.057)
H : 0.662 (0.538 / ▲0.124)
A : 0.541 (0.549 / ▼0.008)
P : 0.667 (0.700 / ▼0.033)

Houston Astros:
T : 0.503 (0.471 / ▲0.032)
H : 0.493 (0.466 / ▲0.027)
A : 0.514 (0.476 / ▲0.038)
P : 0.333 (0.382 / ▼0.049)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 60%
0%
AWAY : 40%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 63%
0%
Underdog : 37%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 63%
0%
AWAY : 37%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 67%
0%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.0 - 4.0 (Model A.)
Tampa Bay Rays : 52% (▼ 5%)
0% (-)
Houston Astros : 48% (▲ 5%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.5 - 2.9 (Model B.4)
Tampa Bay Rays : 58% (▲ 1%)
0% (-)
Houston Astros : 42% (▼ 1%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.7 - 2.2
Tampa Bay Rays : 56% (▼ 1%)
0% (-)
Houston Astros : 44% (▲ 1%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 73%
D : 0%
AWAY : 27%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (56%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 60%
D : 0%
AWAY : 40%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (56%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%


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