Baltimore Orioles

8 - 3

Texas Rangers

Wed, Apr 1, 2026 16:35 (UTC)


Facts

Baltimore Orioles :
T. Rogers (SP, W: 2-0, 1.38) 6.0, 6H, 2R, 2ER, 1BB, 3K
A. Suarez (S: 1, 3.00) 3.0, 2H, 1R, 1ER, 1BB, 2K, 1HR
2B: Ward (2, Eovaldi); Taveras (1, Eovaldi)
HR: Basallo (1, 5th inning off Eovaldi 0 on, 0 Out); Beavers (1, 6th inning off Baumler 0 on, 2 Out)
RBI: Ward 2 (4), Taveras 2 (2), Jackson 2 (3), Basallo (1), Beavers (3)
Texas Rangers :
N. Eovaldi (SP, L: 0-2, 11.42) 4.0, 8H, 6R, 6ER, 3BB, 5K, 1HR
2B: Nimmo (1, Rogers)
HR: Seager (3, 8th inning off Suárez 0 on, 0 Out)
RBI: Seager (5), Jung (1), Duran (3)
Rangers vs. Orioles Game Highlights (4/1/26) | MLB Highlights
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 30%
D: 0%
Away: 70%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.70 - 1.37)
HOMETEAM: 27%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 73%

Baltimore Orioles (Fact Index 3.70): Expected Win % is 27%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.

Texas Rangers (Fact Index 1.37): Expected Win % is 73%, compared to a 53% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 47%
0%
AWAY : 53%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 63%
4%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.5 - 5.0 (Model A.)
Baltimore Orioles : 42% (▲ 15%)
0% (-)
Texas Rangers : 58% (▼ 15%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Baltimore Orioles | 0.400 | 0.371 | ▼ 0.029
T | Texas Rangers | 0.800 | 0.684 | ▼ 0.116
H | Baltimore Orioles | 0.400 | 0.371 | ▼ 0.029
A | Texas Rangers | 0.800 | 0.684 | ▼ 0.116
P | Baltimore Orioles | 0.400 | 0.371 | ▼ 0.029
P | Texas Rangers | 0.800 | 0.684 | ▼ 0.116
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.0 - 6.0 (Model B.4)
Baltimore Orioles : 16% (▼ 11%)
0% (-)
Texas Rangers : 84% (▲ 11%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.9 - 1.9
Baltimore Orioles : 51% (▲ 24%)
0% (-)
Texas Rangers : 49% (▼ 24%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 3%
AWAY : 40%

Hometeam 1.9 = 1.9 Awayteam Trend:

HOME : 40%
D : 0%
AWAY : 60%

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