Seibu Lions

3 - 4

Fukuoka S. Hawks

Thu, Apr 23, 2026 09:00 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 70%
D: 0%
Away: 30%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.82 - 2.33)
HOMETEAM: 55%
2%
AWAYTEAM: 43%

Seibu Lions (Fact Index 1.82): Expected Win % is 55%, compared to a 79% actual win rate for identical index values.

Fukuoka S. Hawks (Fact Index 2.33): Expected Win % is 43%, compared to a 14% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 79%
7%
AWAY : 14%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 57%
7%
Underdog : 36%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 3.5 - 3.5 (Model A.)
Seibu Lions : 52% (▼ 3%)
0% (▼ 2%)
Fukuoka S. Hawks : 48% (▲ 5%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Seibu Lions | 0.455 | 0.426 | ▼ 0.029
T | Fukuoka S. Hawks | 0.545 | 0.597 | ▲ 0.052
H | Seibu Lions | 0.500 | 0.434 | ▼ 0.066
A | Fukuoka S. Hawks | 0.600 | 0.632 | ▲ 0.032
P | Seibu Lions | 0.667 | 0.659 | ▼ 0.008
P | Fukuoka S. Hawks | 0.333 | 0.481 | ▲ 0.148
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.1 - 3.5 (Model B.4)
Seibu Lions : 40% (▼ 15%)
0% (▼ 2%)
Fukuoka S. Hawks : 60% (▲ 17%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 2.5 - 1.5
Seibu Lions : 38% (▼ 17%)
0% (▼ 2%)
Fukuoka S. Hawks : 62% (▲ 19%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 40%
D : 3%
AWAY : 57%

Awayteam = 1.5 Trend:

HOME : 23%
D : 3%
AWAY : 74%

© 2020 - 2026 | Waveflow SportsLab | Terms of Use · Privacy Policy | All Rights Reserved.

©2026 Waveflow SportsLab
Terms of Use | Privacy Policy