Cincinnati Reds

6 - 4

Chicago Cubs

Cincinnati Reds keep rolling with 2 straight wins vs Chicago Cubs. Meanwhile, Away Nightmare Continues for Winless Chicago Cubs.

Fri, Sep 18, 2026 22:40 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 0%
Away: 60%

Home team Side

Away team Side

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.27 - 1.79)
HOMETEAM: 44%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 56%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (55.17)
Intensity: [Moderate] (44.83)

Cincinnati Reds (Fact Index 2.27):
Expected Win % is 44%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 47% in this event.

Chicago Cubs (Fact Index 1.79):
Expected Win % is 56%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 53% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Cincinnati Reds:
T : 0.464 (0.404 / ▲0.060)
H : 0.474 (0.433 / ▲0.041)
A : 0.453 (0.378 / ▲0.075)
P : 0.333 (0.311 / ▲0.022)

Chicago Cubs:
T : 0.556 (0.587 / ▼0.031)
H : 0.577 (0.581 / ▼0.004)
A : 0.533 (0.594 / ▼0.061)
P : 0.667 (0.721 / ▼0.054)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 47%
0%
AWAY : 53%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 60%
7%
Underdog : 33%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 43%
0%
AWAY : 57%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 53%
7%
Underdog : 40%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.6 - 4.2 (Model A.)
Cincinnati Reds : 49% (▲ 5%)
0% (-)
Chicago Cubs : 51% (▼ 5%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 5.2 - 7.5 (Model B.4)
Cincinnati Reds : 35% (▼ 9%)
0% (-)
Chicago Cubs : 65% (▲ 9%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.1 - 1.8
Cincinnati Reds : 46% (▲ 2%)
0% (-)
Chicago Cubs : 54% (▼ 2%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%

Based on Away team = 1.8 (54%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 3%
AWAY : 47%

Based on Away team = 1.8 (54%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 43%
D : 7%
AWAY : 50%


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