Philadelphia Phillies

3 - 2

Washington Nationals

Tue, Mar 31, 2026 22:40 (UTC)


Facts

Philadelphia Phillies :
A. Painter (SP, W: 1-0, 1.69) 5.1, 4H, 1R, 1ER, 1BB, 8K
J. Duran (S: 2, 3.38) 1.0, 1H, 2K
HR: Schwarber (2, 3rd inning off Littell 0 on, 2 Out); García (1, 4th inning off Littell 0 on, 2 Out)
RBI: Harper (2), Schwarber (3), García (3)
SB: Marsh (1)
Washington Nationals :
P. Poulin (SP, 0.00) 1.0, 1K
Z. Littell (L: 0-1, 5.40) 5.0, 6H, 3R, 3ER, 2BB, 1K, 2HR
2B: Lile (3, Painter); Wood (2, Banks)
RBI: Wood (3)
SB: Nuñez (3)
Nationals vs. Phillies Game Highlights (3/31/26) | MLB Highlights
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.23 - 1.45)
HOMETEAM: 31%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 69%

Philadelphia Phillies (Fact Index 3.23): Expected Win % is 31%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.

Washington Nationals (Fact Index 1.45): Expected Win % is 69%, compared to a 53% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 47%
0%
AWAY : 53%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 47%
0%
Underdog : 53%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 6.0 - 6.0 (Model A.)
Philadelphia Phillies : 41% (▲ 10%)
0% (-)
Washington Nationals : 59% (▼ 10%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Philadelphia Phillies | 0.250 | 0.209 | ▼ 0.041
T | Washington Nationals | 0.750 | 0.710 | ▼ 0.040
H | Philadelphia Phillies | 0.250 | 0.209 | ▼ 0.041
A | Washington Nationals | 0.750 | 0.710 | ▼ 0.040
P | Philadelphia Phillies | 0.250 | 0.209 | ▼ 0.041
P | Washington Nationals | 0.750 | 0.710 | ▼ 0.040
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.9 - 5.6 (Model B.4)
Philadelphia Phillies : 49% (▲ 18%)
0% (-)
Washington Nationals : 51% (▼ 18%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.5 - 2.6
Philadelphia Phillies : 62% (▲ 31%)
0% (-)
Washington Nationals : 38% (▼ 31%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 63%
D : 0%
AWAY : 37%

Hometeam = 1.5 Trend:

HOME : 70%
D : 0%
AWAY : 30%

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