Arizona Diamondbacks

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Atlanta Braves

Defending the Turf: Arizona Diamondbacks Wins 2nd in a Row. Conversely, A 2-game losing skid is plaguing Atlanta Braves.

Sun, Apr 5, 2026 20:10 (UTC)


Facts

Arizona Diamondbacks :
B. Pfaadt (SP, 6.75), 4.2, 6H, 3R, 3ER, 2BB, 2K, 1HR
R. Thompson (B, 0.00), K. Ginkel (H, 10.80), J. Loasiga (B, 1.69),
T. Rashi (W, 1-0, 0.00) 1.0
2B: Marte 2 (2, Pérez, Payamps); Barrosa (3, Lee)
3B: Vargas (1, Pérez); Carroll (2, Lee)
RBI: Arenado (1), Marte (3), Vargas 2 (4), Perdomo (3), Carroll (9)
Atlanta Braves :
M. Perez (SP, 3.86) 5.0, 5H, 4R, 4ER, 1BB, 1K
J. Payamps (L, 0-1, 6.75) 0.0, 1H, 1R
2B: Mateo (1, Thompson); Dubón (2, Pfaadt)
HR: Baldwin (4, 1st inning off Pfaadt 0 on, 1 Out)
RBI: Baldwin 4 (12)
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.89 - 2.13)
HOMETEAM: 53%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 47%

Arizona Diamondbacks (Fact Index 1.89): Expected Win % is 53%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.

Atlanta Braves (Fact Index 2.13): Expected Win % is 47%, compared to a 53% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 47%
0%
AWAY : 53%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 56%
7%
Underdog : 37%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 3.6 - 6.0 (Model A.)
Arizona Diamondbacks : 39% (▼ 14%)
0% (-)
Atlanta Braves : 61% (▲ 14%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.444 | 0.292 | ▼ 0.152
T | Atlanta Braves | 0.667 | 0.864 | ▲ 0.197
H | Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.667 | 0.329 | ▼ 0.338
P | Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.667 | 0.329 | ▼ 0.338
P | Atlanta Braves | 0.667 | 0.888 | ▲ 0.221
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 2.7 - 5.3 (Model B.4)
Arizona Diamondbacks : 32% (▼ 21%)
0% (-)
Atlanta Braves : 68% (▲ 21%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.9 - 1.9
Arizona Diamondbacks : 50% (▼ 3%)
0% (-)
Atlanta Braves : 50% (▲ 3%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 40%
D : 0%
AWAY : 60%

Hometeam 1.9 = 1.9 Awayteam Trend:

HOME : 40%
D : 0%
AWAY : 60%

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