Cincinnati Reds

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Philadelphia Phillies

Tue, Jul 7, 2026 23:10 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.00 - 2.00)
HOMETEAM: 50%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 50%

Due to a lack of data in the early stages of the competition, default index values may be applied. Please refer to each team's number of games played.

Cincinnati Reds (Fact Index 2.00): Expected Win % is 50%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Philadelphia Phillies (Fact Index 2.00): Expected Win % is 50%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 60%
7%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.0 - 3.5 (Model A.)
Cincinnati Reds : 53% (▲ 3%)
0% (-)
Philadelphia Phillies : 47% (▼ 3%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Cincinnati Reds | 0.461 | 0.437 | ▼ 0.024
T | Philadelphia Phillies | 0.549 | 0.492 | ▼ 0.057
H | Cincinnati Reds | 0.455 | 0.412 | ▼ 0.043
A | Philadelphia Phillies | 0.556 | 0.470 | ▼ 0.086
P | Cincinnati Reds | 0.333 | 0.360 | ▲ 0.027
P | Philadelphia Phillies | 0.500 | 0.425 | ▼ 0.075
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.8 - 3.6 (Model B.4)
Cincinnati Reds : 64% (▲ 14%)
0% (-)
Philadelphia Phillies : 36% (▼ 14%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 2.4 - 1.6
Cincinnati Reds : 40% (▼ 10%)
0% (-)
Philadelphia Phillies : 60% (▲ 10%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%

Awayteam = 1.6 Trend:

HOME : 37%
D : 0%
AWAY : 63%

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