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New York Yankees

9 - 0

ALWC - Game 1, NYY lead series 1-0

Boston Red Sox

New York Yankees Remain Dominant over Boston Red Sox with 3 Consecutive Victories. Meanwhile, Boston Red Sox road woes intensify with a 3rd straight away loss.

Wed, Sep 30, 2026 00:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.92 - 2.08)
HOMETEAM: 52%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 48%

Weight: [Close] (13.79)
Intensity: [Extreme] (86.21)

New York Yankees (Fact Index 1.92):
Expected Win % is 52%, compared to a 63% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 57% in this event.

Boston Red Sox (Fact Index 2.08):
Expected Win % is 48%, compared to a 37% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 43% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

New York Yankees:
T : 0.578 (0.593 / ▼0.015)
H : 0.575 (0.575 / -)
A : 0.580 (0.614 / ▼0.034)
P : 0.667 (0.518 / ▲0.149)

Boston Red Sox:
T : 0.537 (0.556 / ▼0.019)
H : 0.506 (0.544 / ▼0.038)
A : 0.568 (0.569 / ▼0.001)
P : 0.500 (0.424 / ▲0.076)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 57%
0%
AWAY : 43%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 60%
10%
Underdog : 30%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 63%
0%
AWAY : 37%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 63%
10%
Underdog : 27%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.7 - 3.1 (Model A.)
New York Yankees : 58% (▲ 6%)
0% (-)
Boston Red Sox : 42% (▼ 6%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.6 - 2.7 (Model B.4)
New York Yankees : 57% (▲ 5%)
0% (-)
Boston Red Sox : 43% (▼ 5%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.7 - 2.1
New York Yankees : 56% (▲ 4%)
0% (-)
Boston Red Sox : 44% (▼ 4%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 73%
D : 0%
AWAY : 27%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (56%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 60%
D : 0%
AWAY : 40%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (56%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%


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