New York Mets

0 - 3

Philadelphia Phillies

A 5-game losing skid is plaguing New York Mets. Conversely, Unstoppable Philadelphia Phillies Clinch 2nd Straight Victory.

Thu, Sep 17, 2026 23:15 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home team Side

Away team Side

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.17 - 1.85)
HOMETEAM: 46%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 54%

Weight: [Distant] (62.07)
Intensity: [Tilted] (37.93)

New York Mets (Fact Index 2.17):
Expected Win % is 46%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 47% in this event.

Philadelphia Phillies (Fact Index 1.85):
Expected Win % is 54%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 53% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

New York Mets:
T : 0.454 (0.470 / ▼0.016)
H : 0.442 (0.451 / ▼0.009)
A : 0.467 (0.489 / ▼0.022)
P : 0.167 (0.444 / ▼0.277)

Philadelphia Phillies:
T : 0.546 (0.520 / ▲0.026)
H : 0.547 (0.535 / ▲0.012)
A : 0.545 (0.503 / ▲0.042)
P : 0.333 (0.381 / ▼0.048)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 47%
0%
AWAY : 53%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
3%
Underdog : 47%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 43%
0%
AWAY : 57%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 54%
3%
Underdog : 43%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.1 - 4.0 (Model A.)
New York Mets : 53% (▲ 7%)
0% (-)
Philadelphia Phillies : 47% (▼ 7%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.6 - 3.3 (Model B.4)
New York Mets : 59% (▲ 13%)
0% (-)
Philadelphia Phillies : 41% (▼ 13%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.7 - 2.1
New York Mets : 55% (▲ 9%)
0% (-)
Philadelphia Phillies : 44% (▼ 10%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 70%
D : 0%
AWAY : 30%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (55%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 70%
D : 0%
AWAY : 30%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (55%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


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