Houston Astros

7 - 2

Toronto Blue Jays

Wed, Aug 5, 2026 00:10 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.89 - 2.13)
HOMETEAM: 53%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 47%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (37.93)
Intensity: [Fierce] (62.07)

Houston Astros (Fact Index 1.89):
Expected Win % is 53%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 57% in this event.

Toronto Blue Jays (Fact Index 2.13):
Expected Win % is 47%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 43% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Houston Astros:
T : 0.509 (0.476 / ▲0.033)
H : 0.509 (0.470 / ▲0.039)
A : 0.509 (0.480 / ▲0.029)
P : 0.833 (0.762 / ▲0.071)

Toronto Blue Jays:
T : 0.465 (0.441 / ▲0.024)
H : 0.475 (0.429 / ▲0.046)
A : 0.455 (0.456 / ▼0.001)
P : 0.667 (0.610 / ▲0.057)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 57%
0%
AWAY : 43%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 37%
0%
Underdog : 63%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 57%
0%
AWAY : 43%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 37%
0%
Underdog : 63%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.9 - 2.9 (Model A.)
Houston Astros : 63% (▲ 10%)
0% (-)
Toronto Blue Jays : 37% (▼ 10%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.1 - 3.6 (Model B.4)
Houston Astros : 52% (▼ 1%)
0% (-)
Toronto Blue Jays : 48% (▲ 1%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.8 - 2.1
Houston Astros : 54% (▲ 1%)
0% (-)
Toronto Blue Jays : 46% (▼ 1%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 43%
D : 0%
AWAY : 57%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (54%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 40%
D : 0%
AWAY : 60%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (54%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%


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