Toronto Blue Jays

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Detroit Tigers

Toronto Blue Jays Suffers 2nd Consecutive Home Defeat. Conversely, Detroit Tigers Secures 6th Straight: The Streak Continues.

Tue, Sep 15, 2026 23:07 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.13 - 1.89)
HOMETEAM: 47%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 53%

Weight: [Close] (13.79)
Intensity: [Extreme] (86.21)

Toronto Blue Jays (Fact Index 2.13):
Expected Win % is 47%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 40% in this event.

Detroit Tigers (Fact Index 1.89):
Expected Win % is 53%, compared to a 60% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 60% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Toronto Blue Jays:
T : 0.493 (0.473 / ▲0.020)
H : 0.513 (0.464 / ▲0.049)
A : 0.474 (0.483 / ▼0.009)
P : 0.500 (0.629 / ▼0.129)

Detroit Tigers:
T : 0.473 (0.551 / ▼0.078)
H : 0.520 (0.576 / ▼0.056)
A : 0.427 (0.528 / ▼0.101)
P : 0.833 (0.780 / ▲0.053)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 40%
0%
AWAY : 60%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 53%
7%
Underdog : 40%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 40%
0%
AWAY : 60%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 53%
7%
Underdog : 40%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.3 - 4.0 (Model A.)
Toronto Blue Jays : 55% (▲ 8%)
0% (-)
Detroit Tigers : 45% (▼ 8%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.0 - 4.0 (Model B.4)
Toronto Blue Jays : 54% (▲ 7%)
0% (-)
Detroit Tigers : 46% (▼ 7%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.7 - 2.1
Toronto Blue Jays : 55% (▲ 8%)
0% (-)
Detroit Tigers : 45% (▼ 8%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (55%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 67%
D : 0%
AWAY : 33%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (55%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


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