Inter-LeagueDoubleheader

Cleveland Guardians

0 - 1

Chicago Cubs

Sun, Apr 5, 2026 17:10 (UTC)


Facts

Cleveland Guardians :
S. Cecconi (SP, 5.23) 6.0, 1H, 1BB, 6K
C. Brogdon (L, 2-1, 4.50) 1.0, 1H, 1R, 1ER, 1BB
2B: Kayfus (1, Cabrera)
Chicago Cubs :
E. Cabrera (SP, 0.00) 5.2, 1H, 5BB, 4K
C. Thielbar (W, 1-0, 0.00) 1.1, 1BB
H. Milner (H, 3.60), D. Palencia (S, 0.00)
RBI: Amaya (4)
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.85 - 2.17)
HOMETEAM: 54%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 46%

Cleveland Guardians (Fact Index 1.85): Expected Win % is 54%, compared to a 60% actual win rate for identical index values.

Chicago Cubs (Fact Index 2.17): Expected Win % is 46%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 60%
0%
AWAY : 40%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 43%
0%
Underdog : 57%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.5 - 4.5 (Model A.)
Cleveland Guardians : 57% (▲ 3%)
0% (-)
Chicago Cubs : 43% (▼ 3%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Cleveland Guardians | 0.625 | 0.435 | ▼ 0.190
T | Chicago Cubs | 0.429 | 0.546 | ▲ 0.117
P | Cleveland Guardians | 0.667 | 0.454 | ▼ 0.213
P | Chicago Cubs | 0.500 | 0.677 | ▲ 0.177
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 2.8 - 3.5 (Model B.4)
Cleveland Guardians : 43% (▼ 11%)
0% (-)
Chicago Cubs : 57% (▲ 11%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 2.1 - 1.8
Cleveland Guardians : 45% (▼ 9%)
0% (-)
Chicago Cubs : 55% (▲ 9%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 43%
D : 0%
AWAY : 57%

Awayteam = 1.8 Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%

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