Colorado Rockies

3 - 9

San Diego Padres

Thu, Sep 17, 2026 00:40 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 20%
D: 0%
Away: 80%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.86 - 1.54)
HOMETEAM: 35%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 65%

Weight: [Distant] (79.31)
Intensity: [Tilted] (20.69)

Colorado Rockies (Fact Index 2.86):
Expected Win % is 35%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 27% in this event.

San Diego Padres (Fact Index 1.54):
Expected Win % is 65%, compared to a 67% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 73% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Colorado Rockies:
T : 0.373 (0.409 / ▼0.036)
H : 0.425 (0.419 / ▲0.006)
A : 0.325 (0.398 / ▼0.073)
P : 0.167 (0.301 / ▼0.134)

San Diego Padres:
T : 0.543 (0.514 / ▲0.029)
H : 0.613 (0.544 / ▲0.069)
A : 0.474 (0.488 / ▼0.014)
P : 0.833 (0.587 / ▲0.246)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 27%
0%
AWAY : 73%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 67%
3%
Underdog : 30%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 33%
0%
AWAY : 67%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 64%
3%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.2 - 5.4 (Model A.)
Colorado Rockies : 43% (▲ 8%)
0% (-)
San Diego Padres : 57% (▼ 8%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.7 - 6.0 (Model B.4)
Colorado Rockies : 36% (▲ 1%)
0% (-)
San Diego Padres : 64% (▼ 1%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.4 - 1.6
Colorado Rockies : 40% (▲ 5%)
0% (-)
San Diego Padres : 60% (▼ 5%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%

Based on Away team = 1.6 (60%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 43%
D : 0%
AWAY : 57%

Based on Away team = 1.6 (60%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%


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