Boston Red Sox

2 - 3

Cleveland Guardians

Boston Red Sox is battling through a 3-match win drought. Meanwhile, Cleveland Guardians Extend Hot Streak to 6 Games.

Tue, Sep 22, 2026 22:45 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.08 - 1.92)
HOMETEAM: 48%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 52%

Weight: [Adjacent] (6.90)
Intensity: [Extreme] (93.10)

Boston Red Sox (Fact Index 2.08):
Expected Win % is 48%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 53% in this event.

Cleveland Guardians (Fact Index 1.92):
Expected Win % is 52%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 47% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Boston Red Sox:
T : 0.538 (0.559 / ▼0.021)
H : 0.507 (0.549 / ▼0.042)
A : 0.568 (0.569 / ▼0.001)
P : 0.333 (0.314 / ▲0.019)

Cleveland Guardians:
T : 0.513 (0.499 / ▲0.014)
H : 0.506 (0.484 / ▲0.022)
A : 0.520 (0.517 / ▲0.003)
P : 0.833 (0.637 / ▲0.196)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 53%
0%
AWAY : 47%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 53%
10%
Underdog : 37%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 57%
10%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.5 - 4.9 (Model A.)
Boston Red Sox : 48% (-)
0% (-)
Cleveland Guardians : 52% (-)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.7 - 4.1 (Model B.4)
Boston Red Sox : 55% (▲ 7%)
0% (-)
Cleveland Guardians : 45% (▼ 7%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.8 - 2.1
Boston Red Sox : 55% (▲ 7%)
0% (-)
Cleveland Guardians : 46% (▼ 6%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 25 game(s)

HOME : 52%
D : 0%
AWAY : 48%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (55%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (55%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


User's choice

Voting has closed.

You're the first!

© 2020 - 2026 | Waveflow SportsLab | Terms of Use · Privacy Policy | All Rights Reserved.

©2026 Waveflow SportsLab
Terms of Use | Privacy Policy