Inter-League

Tampa Bay Rays

6 - 2

New York Mets

Tue, Sep 1, 2026 22:40 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 70%
D: 0%
Away: 30%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.54 - 2.86)
HOMETEAM: 65%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 35%

Weight: [Distant] (79.31)
Intensity: [Tilted] (20.69)

Tampa Bay Rays (Fact Index 1.54):
Expected Win % is 65%, compared to a 53% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 50% in this event.

New York Mets (Fact Index 2.86):
Expected Win % is 35%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 50% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Tampa Bay Rays:
T : 0.599 (0.543 / ▲0.056)
H : 0.657 (0.539 / ▲0.118)
A : 0.537 (0.546 / ▼0.009)
P : 0.667 (0.613 / ▲0.054)

New York Mets:
T : 0.449 (0.459 / ▼0.010)
H : 0.451 (0.457 / ▼0.006)
A : 0.448 (0.462 / ▼0.014)
P : 0.333 (0.252 / ▲0.081)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 47%
3%
Underdog : 50%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 53%
0%
AWAY : 47%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
3%
Underdog : 47%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.7 - 4.8 (Model A.)
Tampa Bay Rays : 62% (▼ 3%)
0% (-)
New York Mets : 38% (▲ 3%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 5.3 - 3.3 (Model B.4)
Tampa Bay Rays : 70% (▲ 5%)
0% (-)
New York Mets : 30% (▼ 5%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 81%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.8 - 2.1
Tampa Bay Rays : 54% (▼ 11%)
0% (-)
New York Mets : 46% (▲ 11%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (54%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 63%
D : 0%
AWAY : 37%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (54%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


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