Toronto Blue Jays

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Minnesota Twins

Home Ground Woes: 2nd Straight Loss for Toronto Blue Jays. However, Minnesota Twins Secures 2nd Straight: The Streak Continues.

Sun, Apr 12, 2026 17:37 (UTC)


Facts

Toronto Blue Jays :
M. Scherzer (SP, L, 1-2, 9.58) 2.1, 5H, 8R, 8ER, 2BB, 3K, 2HR
2B: Giménez (1, Morris); Varsho (4, Bradley); Clement (5, Bradley)
Minnesota Twins :
T. Bradley (SP, W, 3-0, 1.25) 5.0, 5H, 1R, 1ER, 4BB, 7K
A. Morris (H, 3.00) 3.0, 6H, 1R, 1ER, 2K
2B: Lee (1, Mantiply)
HR: Gray (2, 2nd inning off Scherzer 2 on, 1 Out); Clemens (2, 3rd inning off Scherzer 0 on, 0 Out)
Twins vs. Blue Jays Game Highlights (4/12/26) | MLB Highlights
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.22 - 1.82)
HOMETEAM: 45%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 55%

Toronto Blue Jays (Fact Index 2.22): Expected Win % is 45%, compared to a 37% actual win rate for identical index values.

Minnesota Twins (Fact Index 1.82): Expected Win % is 55%, compared to a 63% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 37%
0%
AWAY : 63%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 53%
7%
Underdog : 40%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.5 - 7.5 (Model A.)
Toronto Blue Jays : 41% (▼ 4%)
0% (-)
Minnesota Twins : 59% (▲ 4%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Toronto Blue Jays | 0.429 | 0.367 | ▼ 0.062
T | Minnesota Twins | 0.533 | 0.513 | ▼ 0.020
H | Toronto Blue Jays | 0.545 | 0.399 | ▼ 0.146
A | Minnesota Twins | 0.375 | 0.442 | ▲ 0.067
P | Toronto Blue Jays | 0.333 | 0.282 | ▼ 0.051
P | Minnesota Twins | 0.833 | 0.607 | ▼ 0.226
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 5.1 - 5.5 (Model B.4)
Toronto Blue Jays : 44% (▼ 1%)
0% (-)
Minnesota Twins : 56% (▲ 1%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.9 - 2.0
Toronto Blue Jays : 51% (▲ 6%)
0% (-)
Minnesota Twins : 49% (▼ 6%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 3%
AWAY : 40%

Hometeam = 1.9 Trend:

HOME : 43%
D : 0%
AWAY : 57%

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