San Diego Padres

7 - 3

Miami Marlins

San Diego Padres dominates at home, making it 7 consecutive home victories. Meanwhile, Miami Marlins Form has dropped with a 3-match slump.

Sun, Sep 20, 2026 20:10 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 70%
D: 0%
Away: 30%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.52 - 2.94)
HOMETEAM: 66%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 34%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (34.48)
Intensity: [Fierce] (65.52)

San Diego Padres (Fact Index 1.52):
Expected Win % is 66%, compared to a 80% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 73% in this event.

Miami Marlins (Fact Index 2.94):
Expected Win % is 34%, compared to a 20% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 27% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

San Diego Padres:
T : 0.555 (0.527 / ▲0.028)
H : 0.623 (0.553 / ▲0.070)
A : 0.487 (0.505 / ▼0.018)
P : 0.833 (0.682 / ▲0.151)

Miami Marlins:
T : 0.490 (0.501 / ▼0.011)
H : 0.577 (0.557 / ▲0.020)
A : 0.403 (0.449 / ▼0.046)
P : 0.500 (0.455 / ▲0.045)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 73%
0%
AWAY : 27%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 70%
0%
Underdog : 30%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 80%
0%
AWAY : 20%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 77%
0%
Underdog : 23%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.0 - 5.0 (Model A.)
San Diego Padres : 58% (▼ 8%)
0% (-)
Miami Marlins : 42% (▲ 8%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 6.2 - 3.9 (Model B.4)
San Diego Padres : 80% (▲ 14%)
0% (-)
Miami Marlins : 20% (▼ 14%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.7 - 2.3
San Diego Padres : 58% (▼ 8%)
0% (-)
Miami Marlins : 42% (▲ 8%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 63%
D : 0%
AWAY : 37%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (58%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 60%
D : 0%
AWAY : 40%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 70%
D : 0%
AWAY : 30%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (58%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 70%
D : 0%
AWAY : 30%


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