Chiba Lotte Marines

5 - 3

Rakuten Gold. Eagles

Chiba Lotte Marines on Fire: 3-Game Winning Streak. Meanwhile, A 4-game losing skid is plaguing Rakuten Gold. Eagles.

Wed, Apr 29, 2026 05:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.82 - 2.33)
HOMETEAM: 55%
2%
AWAYTEAM: 43%

Chiba Lotte Marines (Fact Index 1.82): Expected Win % is 55%, compared to a 79% actual win rate for identical index values.

Rakuten Gold. Eagles (Fact Index 2.33): Expected Win % is 43%, compared to a 14% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 79%
7%
AWAY : 14%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 57%
7%
Underdog : 36%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.0 - 4.0 (Model A.)
Chiba Lotte Marines : 59% (▲ 4%)
0% (▼ 2%)
Rakuten Gold. Eagles : 41% (▼ 2%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.440 | 0.407 | ▼ 0.033
T | Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 0.480 | 0.527 | ▲ 0.047
H | Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.583 | 0.583 | 0.000
A | Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 0.500 | 0.488 | ▼ 0.012
P | Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.667 | 0.538 | ▼ 0.129
P | Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 0.167 | 0.306 | ▲ 0.139
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.4 - 3.4 (Model B.4)
Chiba Lotte Marines : 61% (▲ 6%)
0% (▼ 2%)
Rakuten Gold. Eagles : 39% (▼ 4%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.8 - 2.0
Chiba Lotte Marines : 52% (▼ 3%)
0% (▼ 2%)
Rakuten Gold. Eagles : 48% (▲ 5%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 43%
D : 0%
AWAY : 57%

Hometeam = 1.8 Trend:

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%

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