Inter-League

Boston Red Sox

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Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee Brewers Extension: Boston Red Sox Slump Reaches 4 Games. However, Unstoppable Milwaukee Brewers Clinch 2nd Straight Victory.

Mon, Apr 6, 2026 22:45 (UTC)


Facts

Boston Red Sox :
B. Bello (SP, 9.00) 3.1, 5H, 4R, 3ER, 4BB, 5K
J. Moran (B, 2.57) 3.0, 1H, 1R, 1ER, 1BB, 4K
G. Whitlock (L, 0-1, 2.25) 1.0, 1H, 2R, 1ER, 2BB, 2K
2B: Contreras (1, Woodruff); Durbin (1, Woodruff); Anthony (1, Woodruff)
HR: Contreras (2, 9th inning off Zerpa 0 on, 2 Out)
RBI: Story 2 (4), Contreras 2 (4), Abreu (8)
Milwaukee Brewers :
B. Woodruff (SP, 4.22) 5.2, 7H, 5R, 3ER, 2BB, 4K
A. Ashby (W, 3-0, 3.12), G. Anderson (3H, 2.70), A. Zerpa (S, 1.59)
2B: Yelich (2, Bello); Rengifo (4, Watson)
RBI: Yelich (9), Bauers (6), Contreras (8), Turang (7), Mitchell 2 (13), Frelick (3)
Brewers vs. Red Sox Game Highlights (4/6/26) | MLB Highlights
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 0%
Away: 60%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (4.17 - 1.32)
HOMETEAM: 24%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 76%

Boston Red Sox (Fact Index 4.17): Expected Win % is 24%, compared to a 53% actual win rate for identical index values.

Milwaukee Brewers (Fact Index 1.32): Expected Win % is 76%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 53%
0%
AWAY : 47%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 59%
8%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.5 - 4.5 (Model A.)
Boston Red Sox : 38% (▲ 14%)
0% (-)
Milwaukee Brewers : 62% (▼ 14%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Boston Red Sox | 0.222 | 0.323 | ▲ 0.101
T | Milwaukee Brewers | 0.778 | 0.760 | ▼ 0.018
P | Boston Red Sox | 0.167 | 0.254 | ▲ 0.087
P | Milwaukee Brewers | 0.667 | 0.652 | ▼ 0.015
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 2.9 - 5.2 (Model B.4)
Boston Red Sox : 20% (▼ 4%)
0% (-)
Milwaukee Brewers : 80% (▲ 4%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 2.0 - 1.9
Boston Red Sox : 49% (▲ 25%)
0% (-)
Milwaukee Brewers : 51% (▼ 25%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

Awayteam = 1.9 Trend:

HOME : 43%
D : 0%
AWAY : 57%

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