Chiba Lotte Marines

9 - 7

Nippon Ham Fighters

Wed, Apr 15, 2026 09:00 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.56 - 1.64)
HOMETEAM: 39%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 61%

Chiba Lotte Marines (Fact Index 2.56): Expected Win % is 39%, compared to a 60% actual win rate for identical index values.

Nippon Ham Fighters (Fact Index 1.64): Expected Win % is 61%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 60%
0%
AWAY : 40%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 60%
0%
Underdog : 40%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.0 - 2.5 (Model A.)
Chiba Lotte Marines : 52% (▲ 13%)
0% (-)
Nippon Ham Fighters : 48% (▼ 13%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.313 | 0.303 | ▼ 0.010
T | Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.533 | 0.642 | ▲ 0.109
H | Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.429 | 0.542 | ▲ 0.113
A | Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.429 | 0.444 | ▲ 0.015
P | Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.167 | 0.195 | ▲ 0.028
P | Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.500 | 0.436 | ▼ 0.064
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 2.4 - 4.6 (Model B.4)
Chiba Lotte Marines : 23% (▼ 16%)
0% (-)
Nippon Ham Fighters : 77% (▲ 16%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 2.3 - 1.6
Chiba Lotte Marines : 42% (▲ 3%)
0% (-)
Nippon Ham Fighters : 58% (▼ 3%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 40%
D : 0%
AWAY : 60%

Awayteam = 1.6 Trend:

HOME : 37%
D : 0%
AWAY : 63%

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