Inter-League

Seibu Lions

4 - 3

Hiroshima Carp

Seibu Lions confirms a run of 3 straight victories. However, Hiroshima Carp Away Woes Continue: 4th Straight Loss.

Tue, Jun 9, 2026 09:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.17 - 2.04)
HOMETEAM: 46%
5%
AWAYTEAM: 49%

Seibu Lions (Fact Index 2.17): Expected Win % is 46%, compared to a 67% actual win rate for identical index values.

Hiroshima Carp (Fact Index 2.04): Expected Win % is 49%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 67%
0%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 67%
0%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 6.0 - 3.0 (Model A.)
Seibu Lions : 63% (▲ 17%)
0% (▼ 5%)
Hiroshima Carp : 37% (▼ 12%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Seibu Lions | 0.614 | 0.617 | ▲ 0.003
T | Hiroshima Carp | 0.404 | 0.457 | ▲ 0.053
H | Seibu Lions | 0.571 | 0.627 | ▲ 0.056
A | Hiroshima Carp | 0.348 | 0.484 | ▲ 0.136
P | Seibu Lions | 0.667 | 0.561 | ▼ 0.106
P | Hiroshima Carp | 0.600 | 0.574 | ▼ 0.026
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 2.3 - 3.8 (Model B.4)
Seibu Lions : 35% (▼ 11%)
0% (▼ 5%)
Hiroshima Carp : 65% (▲ 16%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 90.5%)


Average Odds : 1.6 - 2.4
Seibu Lions : 60% (▲ 14%)
0% (▼ 5%)
Hiroshima Carp : 40% (▼ 9%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%

Hometeam = 1.6 Trend:

HOME : 60%
D : 3%
AWAY : 37%

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