Arizona Diamondbacks

2 - 4

Extra innings / 11

Miami Marlins

Wed, Sep 16, 2026 01:40 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 20%
D: 0%
Away: 80%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.17 - 1.85)
HOMETEAM: 46%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 54%

Weight: [Close] (27.59)
Intensity: [Fierce] (72.41)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Fact Index 2.17):
Expected Win % is 46%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 47% in this event.

Miami Marlins (Fact Index 1.85):
Expected Win % is 54%, compared to a 53% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 53% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Arizona Diamondbacks:
T : 0.530 (0.502 / ▲0.028)
H : 0.566 (0.527 / ▲0.039)
A : 0.493 (0.476 / ▲0.017)
P : 0.500 (0.545 / ▼0.045)

Miami Marlins:
T : 0.490 (0.503 / ▼0.013)
H : 0.577 (0.557 / ▲0.020)
A : 0.397 (0.452 / ▼0.055)
P : 0.333 (0.444 / ▼0.111)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 47%
0%
AWAY : 53%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
3%
Underdog : 47%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 47%
0%
AWAY : 53%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
3%
Underdog : 47%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.6 - 4.9 (Model A.)
Arizona Diamondbacks : 46% (-)
0% (-)
Miami Marlins : 54% (-)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.6 - 5.5 (Model B.4)
Arizona Diamondbacks : 43% (▼ 3%)
0% (-)
Miami Marlins : 57% (▲ 3%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.7 - 2.2
Arizona Diamondbacks : 57% (▲ 11%)
0% (-)
Miami Marlins : 42% (▼ 12%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (57%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 43%
D : 0%
AWAY : 57%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (57%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 37%
D : 3%
AWAY : 60%


User's choice

Voting has closed.

You're the first!

© 2020 - 2026 | Waveflow SportsLab | Terms of Use · Privacy Policy | All Rights Reserved.

©2026 Waveflow SportsLab
Terms of Use | Privacy Policy