Fukuoka S. Hawks

1 - 2

Seibu Lions

Fortress Crumbles: Fukuoka S. Hawks Lose 2nd Straight at Home. Conversely, Seibu Lions Rules the Road: 3rd Straight Away Victory.

Wed, Apr 8, 2026 09:00 (UTC)


Facts

Fukuoka S. Hawks :
Hsu Jo-Hsi (SP, L, 1-1, 0.69) 7.0, 6H, 1HR, 5K, 2BB, 1R, 1ER
RBI: Kurihara Ryoya
Seibu Lions :
Takahashi Kona (SP, W, 1-1, 0.00), 8.0, 2H 11K, 1BB
Iwaki Hakua (3S, 4.50)
HR: Kojima Taiga (2, 1st, 1R), Watanabe Seiya (2, 8th, 1R)
HR: Kojima Taiga, Watanabe Seiya
Hsu Jo-Hsi vs. Lin An-Ko: Taiwan’s Superstars Clash in Fukuoka!
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.49 - 3.33)
HOMETEAM: 67%
3%
AWAYTEAM: 30%

Fukuoka S. Hawks (Fact Index 1.49): Expected Win % is 67%, compared to a 25% actual win rate for identical index values.

Seibu Lions (Fact Index 3.33): Expected Win % is 30%, compared to a 75% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 25%
0%
AWAY : 75%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 25%
0%
Underdog : 75%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 6.5 - 4.5 (Model A.)
Fukuoka S. Hawks : 69% (▲ 2%)
0% (▼ 3%)
Seibu Lions : 31% (▲ 1%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Fukuoka S. Hawks | 0.700 | 0.643 | ▼ 0.057
T | Seibu Lions | 0.333 | 0.285 | ▼ 0.048
H | Fukuoka S. Hawks | 0.750 | 0.596 | ▼ 0.154
A | Seibu Lions | 0.500 | 0.313 | ▼ 0.187
P | Fukuoka S. Hawks | 0.500 | 0.593 | ▲ 0.093
P | Seibu Lions | 0.200 | 0.291 | ▲ 0.091
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.5 - 3.1 (Model B.4)
Fukuoka S. Hawks : 73% (▲ 6%)
0% (▼ 3%)
Seibu Lions : 27% (▼ 3%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.4 - 2.8
Fukuoka S. Hawks : 66% (▼ 1%)
0% (▼ 3%)
Seibu Lions : 34% (▲ 4%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 63%
D : 0%
AWAY : 37%

Hometeam = 1.4 Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 3%
AWAY : 40%

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