Inter-League

San Diego Padres

5 - 2

Seattle Mariners

Home Sweet Home: San Diego Padres Secures 8th Consecutive Victory. Conversely, Away Nightmare Continues for Winless Seattle Mariners.

Fri, Apr 17, 2026 00:40 (UTC)


Facts

San Diego Padres :
W. Buehler (SP, W, 1-1, 4.58) 5.0, 5H, 2R, 2ER, 1BB, 7K
B. Rodriguez (H, 2, 0.93), A. Morejon (H, 3, 7.71), J. Adam (H, 2, 0.00)
M. Miller (S, 6, 0.00)
2B: Sheets (8, Castillo); Merrill (6, Wilcox)
RBI: Machado (10), Laureano (13), Tatis Jr. 2 (10), Campusano (6)
Seattle Mariners :
L. Castillo (SP, L, 0-1, 5.40) 5.1, 7H 4R, 1ER, 3BB, 3K
RBI: Rodríguez (6), Raleigh (11)
The Reaper does it again! Mason Miller Ks the side to secure Padres 8th straight win! 🔥
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 0%
Away: 60%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.59 - 2.70)
HOMETEAM: 63%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 37%

San Diego Padres (Fact Index 1.59): Expected Win % is 63%, compared to a 60% actual win rate for identical index values.

Seattle Mariners (Fact Index 2.70): Expected Win % is 37%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 60%
0%
AWAY : 40%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 50%
0%
Underdog : 50%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.6 - 4.0 (Model A.)
San Diego Padres : 60% (▼ 3%)
0% (-)
Seattle Mariners : 40% (▲ 3%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | San Diego Padres | 0.667 | 0.607 | ▼ 0.060
T | Seattle Mariners | 0.421 | 0.544 | ▲ 0.123
H | San Diego Padres | 0.667 | 0.614 | ▼ 0.053
A | Seattle Mariners | 0.125 | 0.336 | ▲ 0.211
P | San Diego Padres | 1.000 | 0.789 | ▼ 0.211
P | Seattle Mariners | 0.667 | 0.629 | ▼ 0.038
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.6 - 4.8 (Model B.4)
San Diego Padres : 49% (▼ 14%)
0% (-)
Seattle Mariners : 51% (▲ 14%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 2.0 - 1.8
San Diego Padres : 48% (▼ 15%)
0% (-)
Seattle Mariners : 52% (▲ 15%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 40%
D : 0%
AWAY : 60%

Awayteam = 1.8 Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%

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