Inter-League

Washington Nationals

6 - 5

Extra innings / 10

LA Angels

Washington Nationals Sweep LA Angels in Last 3 Matchups. Conversely, A 2-game losing skid is plaguing LA Angels.

Sat, Sep 12, 2026 20:05 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 70%
D: 0%
Away: 30%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.85 - 2.17)
HOMETEAM: 54%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 46%

Weight: [Close] (13.79)
Intensity: [Extreme] (86.21)

Washington Nationals (Fact Index 1.85):
Expected Win % is 54%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 43% in this event.

LA Angels (Fact Index 2.17):
Expected Win % is 46%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 57% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Washington Nationals:
T : 0.456 (0.501 / ▼0.045)
H : 0.459 (0.481 / ▼0.022)
A : 0.453 (0.523 / ▼0.070)
P : 0.167 (0.323 / ▼0.156)

LA Angels:
T : 0.388 (0.448 / ▼0.060)
H : 0.419 (0.422 / ▼0.003)
A : 0.356 (0.470 / ▼0.114)
P : 0.500 (0.660 / ▼0.160)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 43%
0%
AWAY : 57%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
0%
Underdog : 50%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 43%
0%
AWAY : 57%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
0%
Underdog : 50%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 3.8 - 3.9 (Model A.)
Washington Nationals : 51% (▼ 3%)
0% (-)
LA Angels : 49% (▲ 3%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.2 - 5.5 (Model B.4)
Washington Nationals : 22% (▼ 32%)
0% (-)
LA Angels : 78% (▲ 32%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 81%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.8 - 1.9
Washington Nationals : 51% (▼ 3%)
0% (-)
LA Angels : 48% (▲ 2%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 60%
D : 0%
AWAY : 40%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (51%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (51%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


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