Promotion

Atlanta Braves

3 - 4

Extra innings / 10, NLWC - Game 2, Series tied 1-1

Philadelphia Phillies

Wed, Sep 30, 2026 18:00 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.67 - 2.50)
HOMETEAM: 60%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 40%

Weight: [Close] (13.79)
Intensity: [Extreme] (86.21)

Atlanta Braves (Fact Index 1.67):
Expected Win % is 60%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 50% in this event.

Philadelphia Phillies (Fact Index 2.50):
Expected Win % is 40%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 50% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Atlanta Braves:
T : 0.583 (0.578 / ▲0.005)
H : 0.646 (0.593 / ▲0.053)
A : 0.519 (0.562 / ▼0.043)
P : 0.500 (0.538 / ▼0.038)

Philadelphia Phillies:
T : 0.540 (0.508 / ▲0.032)
H : 0.531 (0.516 / ▲0.015)
A : 0.549 (0.500 / ▲0.049)
P : 0.167 (0.169 / ▼0.002)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 47%
0%
Underdog : 53%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
0%
Underdog : 50%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.5 - 4.4 (Model A.)
Atlanta Braves : 54% (▼ 6%)
0% (-)
Philadelphia Phillies : 46% (▲ 6%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.9 - 3.9 (Model B.4)
Atlanta Braves : 59% (▼ 1%)
0% (-)
Philadelphia Phillies : 41% (▲ 1%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.0 - 1.9
Atlanta Braves : 48% (▼ 12%)
0% (-)
Philadelphia Phillies : 51% (▲ 11%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

Based on Away team = 1.9 (51%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 43%
D : 0%
AWAY : 57%

Based on Away team = 1.9 (51%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 43%
D : 0%
AWAY : 57%


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