Chiba Lotte Marines

5 - 3

Nippon Ham Fighters

Fortress: Chiba Lotte Marines Wins 2nd Straight at Home. Meanwhile, Nippon Ham Fighters is battling through a 2-match win drought.

Thu, Apr 16, 2026 09:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.08 - 1.92)
HOMETEAM: 48%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 52%

Chiba Lotte Marines (Fact Index 2.08): Expected Win % is 48%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.

Nippon Ham Fighters (Fact Index 1.92): Expected Win % is 52%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 57%
3%
AWAY : 40%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 53%
7%
Underdog : 40%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.5 - 3.5 (Model A.)
Chiba Lotte Marines : 54% (▲ 6%)
0% (-)
Nippon Ham Fighters : 46% (▼ 6%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.353 | 0.342 | ▼ 0.011
T | Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.500 | 0.615 | ▲ 0.115
H | Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.500 | 0.561 | ▲ 0.061
A | Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.375 | 0.430 | ▲ 0.055
P | Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.333 | 0.417 | ▲ 0.084
P | Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.500 | 0.467 | ▼ 0.033
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.0 - 5.1 (Model B.4)
Chiba Lotte Marines : 27% (▼ 21%)
0% (-)
Nippon Ham Fighters : 73% (▲ 21%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 2.3 - 1.6
Chiba Lotte Marines : 42% (▼ 6%)
0% (-)
Nippon Ham Fighters : 58% (▲ 6%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 40%
D : 0%
AWAY : 60%

Awayteam = 1.6 Trend:

HOME : 37%
D : 0%
AWAY : 63%

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