Tampa Bay Rays

6 - 4

New York Yankees

Tue, Jul 7, 2026 22:40 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.72 - 2.38)
HOMETEAM: 58%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 42%

Tampa Bay Rays (Fact Index 1.72): Expected Win % is 58%, compared to a 67% actual win rate for identical index values.

New York Yankees (Fact Index 2.38): Expected Win % is 42%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 67%
0%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 57%
3%
Underdog : 40%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.0 - 3.0 (Model A.)
Tampa Bay Rays : 62% (▲ 4%)
0% (-)
New York Yankees : 38% (▼ 4%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Tampa Bay Rays | 0.591 | 0.537 | ▼ 0.054
T | New York Yankees | 0.556 | 0.595 | ▲ 0.039
H | Tampa Bay Rays | 0.705 | 0.582 | ▼ 0.123
A | New York Yankees | 0.574 | 0.631 | ▲ 0.057
P | Tampa Bay Rays | 0.500 | 0.522 | ▲ 0.022
P | New York Yankees | 0.333 | 0.264 | ▼ 0.069
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.3 - 3.0 (Model B.4)
Tampa Bay Rays : 65% (▲ 7%)
0% (-)
New York Yankees : 35% (▼ 7%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.8 - 2.0
Tampa Bay Rays : 52% (▼ 6%)
0% (-)
New York Yankees : 48% (▲ 6%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%

Hometeam = 1.8 Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%

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