Rakuten Gold. Eagles

2 - 12

Nippon Ham Fighters

Wed, May 6, 2026 05:00 (UTC)

Facts

Rakuten Gold. Eagles :
Maeda Kenta (SP, 4.41) 5.0, 3H, 2K, 2BB, 1R, 1ER
Uchi Seiryu (L, 0-2, 7.71, 0.2, 1K, 1BB, 1R, 1ER)
HR: Taira Ryuya (4, 3rd Itoh Hiromi, S), Murabayashi Itsuki (3, 9th Hori Mizuki, S)
RBI: Taira Ryuya, Murabayashi Itsuki
Nippon Ham Fighters :
Itoh Hiromi (SP, W, 3-2, 3.57) 7.0, 4H, 1HR, 3K, 2BB, 1R, 1ER)
2B: Nomura Yuki
3B: Yazawa Kota, Tamiya Yua
HR: Hosokawa Ryohei (1, 8th Nakagomi Haruto, 3R), Yazawa Kota (3, 9th Nakagomi Haruto, 2R)
RBI: Hosokawa Ryohei 3, Reyes Franmil, Nomura Yuki, Yazawa Kota 3, Mizuno Tatsuki, Tamiya Yua 2
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.89 - 2.17)
HOMETEAM: 53%
1%
AWAYTEAM: 46%

Rakuten Gold. Eagles (Fact Index 1.89): Expected Win % is 53%, compared to a 62% actual win rate for identical index values.

Nippon Ham Fighters (Fact Index 2.17): Expected Win % is 46%, compared to a 38% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 62%
0%
AWAY : 38%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 77%
0%
Underdog : 23%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.0 - 4.0 (Model A.)
Rakuten Gold. Eagles : 57% (▲ 4%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Nippon Ham Fighters : 43% (▼ 3%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 0.484 | 0.522 | ▲ 0.038
T | Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.441 | 0.503 | ▲ 0.062
H | Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 0.533 | 0.579 | ▲ 0.046
A | Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.294 | 0.354 | ▲ 0.060
P | Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 0.500 | 0.500 | 0.000
P | Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.500 | 0.587 | ▲ 0.087
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 2.2 - 3.1 (Model B.4)
Rakuten Gold. Eagles : 34% (▼ 19%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Nippon Ham Fighters : 66% (▲ 20%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)

Average Odds : 2.2 - 1.7
Rakuten Gold. Eagles : 43% (▼ 10%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Nippon Ham Fighters : 57% (▲ 11%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 43%
D : 0%
AWAY : 57%

Awayteam = 1.7 Trend:

HOME : 60%
D : 0%
AWAY : 40%

Rakuten Gold. Eagles

Last 3:
NPB 2026-05-09 Seibu Lions 6 - 2 Rakuten Gold. Eagles
NPB 2026-05-08 Seibu Lions 4 - 2 Rakuten Gold. Eagles
NPB 2026-05-05 Rakuten Gold. Eagles 3 - 2 Nippon Ham Fighters

Next 3:
NPB 2026-05-10 Seibu Lions - Rakuten Gold. Eagles
NPB 2026-05-12 Rakuten Gold. Eagles - Orix Buffaloes
NPB 2026-05-14 Rakuten Gold. Eagles - Orix Buffaloes

Last 20 games

HOME :

AWAY :

Nippon Ham Fighters

Last 3:
NPB 2026-05-09 Orix Buffaloes 0 - 3 Nippon Ham Fighters
NPB 2026-05-08 Orix Buffaloes 4 - 3 Nippon Ham Fighters
NPB 2026-05-05 Rakuten Gold. Eagles 3 - 2 Nippon Ham Fighters

Next 3:
NPB 2026-05-10 Orix Buffaloes - Nippon Ham Fighters
NPB 2026-05-12 Chiba Lotte Marines - Nippon Ham Fighters
NPB 2026-05-13 Chiba Lotte Marines - Nippon Ham Fighters

Last 20 games

HOME :

AWAY :

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