Nippon Ham Fighters

1 - 1

Extra innings / 12

Fukuoka S. Hawks

Wed, Sep 2, 2026 09:00 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 30%
D: 20%
Away: 50%

Home team Side

Away team Side

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.89 - 2.38)
HOMETEAM: 53%
5%
AWAYTEAM: 42%

Weight: [Close] (27.27)
Intensity: [Fierce] (72.73)

Nippon Ham Fighters (Fact Index 1.89):
Expected Win % is 53%, compared to a 34% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 34% in this event.

Fukuoka S. Hawks (Fact Index 2.38):
Expected Win % is 42%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 33% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Nippon Ham Fighters:
T : 0.562 (0.565 / ▼0.003)
H : 0.629 (0.577 / ▲0.052)
A : 0.492 (0.551 / ▼0.059)
P : 0.833 (0.703 / ▲0.130)

Fukuoka S. Hawks:
T : 0.624 (0.668 / ▼0.044)
H : 0.627 (0.707 / ▼0.080)
A : 0.621 (0.630 / ▼0.009)
P : 0.500 (0.595 / ▼0.095)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 3 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 34%
33%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 3 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 67%
33%
Underdog : 0%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 3 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 34%
33%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 3 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 67%
33%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.0 - 4.7 (Model A.)
Nippon Ham Fighters : 49% (▼ 4%)
0% (▼ 5%)
Fukuoka S. Hawks : 51% (▲ 9%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.7 - 4.2 (Model B.4)
Nippon Ham Fighters : 55% (▲ 2%)
0% (▼ 5%)
Fukuoka S. Hawks : 45% (▲ 3%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.0 - 1.8
Nippon Ham Fighters : 47% (▼ 6%)
0% (▼ 5%)
Fukuoka S. Hawks : 54% (▲ 12%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 10 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 10%
AWAY : 40%

Based on Away team = 1.8 (54%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 10%
AWAY : 33%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 54%
D : 3%
AWAY : 43%

Based on Away team = 1.8 (54%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 60%
D : 7%
AWAY : 33%


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