Seibu Lions

6 - 1

Rakuten Gold. Eagles

Seibu Lions keep rolling with 5 straight wins vs Rakuten Gold. Eagles. However, Rakuten Gold. Eagles Rut Deepens: 4 Games Without Win.

Sun, May 10, 2026 05:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 10%
Away: 40%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.72 - 2.78)
HOMETEAM: 58%
6%
AWAYTEAM: 36%

Seibu Lions (Fact Index 1.72): Expected Win % is 58%, compared to a 42% actual win rate for identical index values.

Rakuten Gold. Eagles (Fact Index 2.78): Expected Win % is 36%, compared to a 58% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 42%
0%
AWAY : 58%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 80%
0%
Underdog : 20%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.5 - 3.5 (Model A.)
Seibu Lions : 65% (▲ 7%)
0% (▼ 6%)
Rakuten Gold. Eagles : 35% (▼ 1%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Seibu Lions | 0.528 | 0.543 | ▲ 0.015
T | Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 0.441 | 0.457 | ▲ 0.016
H | Seibu Lions | 0.526 | 0.601 | ▲ 0.075
A | Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 0.389 | 0.422 | ▲ 0.033
P | Seibu Lions | 0.667 | 0.654 | ▼ 0.013
P | Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 0.500 | 0.377 | ▼ 0.123
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.9 - 2.4 (Model B.4)
Seibu Lions : 75% (▲ 17%)
0% (▼ 6%)
Rakuten Gold. Eagles : 25% (▼ 11%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.8 - 2.0
Seibu Lions : 52% (▼ 6%)
0% (▼ 6%)
Rakuten Gold. Eagles : 48% (▲ 12%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 43%
D : 0%
AWAY : 57%

Hometeam = 1.8 Trend:

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%

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