Promotion

Tampa Bay Rays

5 - 2

ALDS - Game 2, TB leads series 2-0

New York Yankees

Defending the Turf: Tampa Bay Rays Wins 4th in a Row. However, New York Yankees Road Trip Hell: 4th Straight Away Loss.

Tue, Oct 6, 2026 00:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home team Side

Away team Side

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.22 - 1.82)
HOMETEAM: 45%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 55%

Weight: [Adjacent] (3.45)
Intensity: [Extreme] (96.55)

Tampa Bay Rays (Fact Index 2.22):
Expected Win % is 45%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 57% in this event.

New York Yankees (Fact Index 1.82):
Expected Win % is 55%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 43% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Tampa Bay Rays:
T : 0.607 (0.559 / ▲0.048)
H : 0.683 (0.568 / ▲0.115)
A : 0.531 (0.549 / ▼0.018)
P : 0.500 (0.519 / ▼0.019)

New York Yankees:
T : 0.579 (0.602 / ▼0.023)
H : 0.585 (0.593 / ▼0.008)
A : 0.573 (0.612 / ▼0.039)
P : 0.667 (0.703 / ▼0.036)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 57%
0%
AWAY : 43%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 57%
0%
Underdog : 43%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 60%
0%
Underdog : 40%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.0 - 4.1 (Model A.)
Tampa Bay Rays : 48% (▲ 3%)
0% (-)
New York Yankees : 52% (▼ 3%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.7 - 4.0 (Model B.4)
Tampa Bay Rays : 50% (▲ 5%)
0% (-)
New York Yankees : 50% (▼ 5%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.0 - 1.9
Tampa Bay Rays : 48% (▲ 3%)
0% (-)
New York Yankees : 51% (▼ 4%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

Based on Away team = 1.9 (51%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 43%
D : 0%
AWAY : 57%

Based on Away team = 1.9 (51%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 43%
D : 0%
AWAY : 57%


User's choice

Voting has closed.

You're the first!

© 2020 - 2026 | Waveflow SportsLab | Terms of Use · Privacy Policy | All Rights Reserved.

©2026 Waveflow SportsLab
Terms of Use | Privacy Policy