Promotion

Tampa Bay Rays

1 - 0

ALDS - Game 1, TB leads series 1-0

New York Yankees

Tampa Bay Rays dominates at home, making it 3 consecutive home victories. Conversely, New York Yankees Away Woes Continue: 3rd Straight Loss.

Sat, Oct 3, 2026 22:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home team Side

Away team Side

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.33 - 1.75)
HOMETEAM: 43%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 57%

Weight: [Adjacent] (3.45)
Intensity: [Extreme] (96.55)

Tampa Bay Rays (Fact Index 2.33):
Expected Win % is 43%, compared to a 63% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 63% in this event.

New York Yankees (Fact Index 1.75):
Expected Win % is 57%, compared to a 37% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 37% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Tampa Bay Rays:
T : 0.605 (0.558 / ▲0.047)
H : 0.679 (0.567 / ▲0.112)
A : 0.531 (0.549 / ▼0.018)
P : 0.500 (0.586 / ▼0.086)

New York Yankees:
T : 0.583 (0.603 / ▼0.020)
H : 0.585 (0.593 / ▼0.008)
A : 0.580 (0.614 / ▼0.034)
P : 0.833 (0.773 / ▲0.060)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 63%
0%
AWAY : 37%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 57%
0%
Underdog : 43%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 63%
0%
AWAY : 37%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
3%
Underdog : 47%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.2 - 4.3 (Model A.)
Tampa Bay Rays : 47% (▲ 4%)
0% (-)
New York Yankees : 53% (▼ 4%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.0 - 4.5 (Model B.4)
Tampa Bay Rays : 49% (▲ 6%)
0% (-)
New York Yankees : 51% (▼ 6%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.7 - 2.1
Tampa Bay Rays : 55% (▲ 12%)
0% (-)
New York Yankees : 45% (▼ 12%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (55%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 67%
D : 0%
AWAY : 33%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (55%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


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