Arizona Diamondbacks

2 - 1

Atlanta Braves

Sat, Apr 4, 2026 23:15 (UTC)


Facts

Arizona Diamondbacks :
M. Soroka (SP, W, 1-0, 0.90) 5.0, 4H, 1R, 1ER, 3BB, 3K
T. Clarke (3H, 10.80), J. Loaisiga (2H, 0.00), J. Morillo (3H, 3.60)
P. Sewald (3S, 4.50) 1.0, 2K
Atlanta Braves :
B. Elder (SP, L, 1-0, 0.00) 7.0, 4H, 2R, 0ER, 1BB, 8K
2B: Olson (5, Soroka)
RBI: Smith (6)
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.08 - 1.92)
HOMETEAM: 48%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 52%

Arizona Diamondbacks (Fact Index 2.08): Expected Win % is 48%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.

Atlanta Braves (Fact Index 1.92): Expected Win % is 52%, compared to a 53% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 47%
0%
AWAY : 53%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 50%
3%
Underdog : 47%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 3.5 - 6.0 (Model A.)
Arizona Diamondbacks : 36% (▼ 12%)
0% (-)
Atlanta Braves : 64% (▲ 12%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.375 | 0.274 | ▼ 0.101
T | Atlanta Braves | 0.750 | 0.886 | ▲ 0.136
H | Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.600 | 0.302 | ▼ 0.298
P | Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.500 | 0.304 | ▼ 0.196
P | Atlanta Braves | 0.667 | 0.850 | ▲ 0.183
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.8 - 5.9 (Model B.4)
Arizona Diamondbacks : 35% (▼ 13%)
0% (-)
Atlanta Braves : 65% (▲ 13%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.9 - 1.9
Arizona Diamondbacks : 50% (▲ 2%)
0% (-)
Atlanta Braves : 50% (▼ 2%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 40%
D : 0%
AWAY : 60%

Hometeam 1.9 = 1.9 Awayteam Trend:

HOME : 40%
D : 0%
AWAY : 60%

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