Chiba Lotte Marines

2 - 0

Orix Buffaloes

Chiba Lotte Marines dominates at home, making it 3 consecutive home victories. Meanwhile, Orix Buffaloes Stuck in 3 Competition Slump.

Sat, May 16, 2026 05:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 0%
Away: 60%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.08 - 1.92)
HOMETEAM: 48%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 52%

Chiba Lotte Marines (Fact Index 2.08): Expected Win % is 48%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.

Orix Buffaloes (Fact Index 1.92): Expected Win % is 52%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 57%
3%
AWAY : 40%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 53%
7%
Underdog : 40%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.0 - 5.0 (Model A.)
Chiba Lotte Marines : 50% (▲ 2%)
0% (-)
Orix Buffaloes : 50% (▼ 2%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.410 | 0.396 | ▼ 0.014
T | Orix Buffaloes | 0.590 | 0.500 | ▼ 0.090
H | Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.550 | 0.553 | ▲ 0.003
A | Orix Buffaloes | 0.368 | 0.333 | ▼ 0.035
P | Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.500 | 0.427 | ▼ 0.073
P | Orix Buffaloes | 0.333 | 0.238 | ▼ 0.095
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 2.5 - 3.1 (Model B.4)
Chiba Lotte Marines : 41% (▼ 7%)
0% (-)
Orix Buffaloes : 59% (▲ 7%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 2.1 - 1.7
Chiba Lotte Marines : 44% (▼ 4%)
0% (-)
Orix Buffaloes : 56% (▲ 4%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 3%
AWAY : 40%

Awayteam = 1.7 Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 3%
AWAY : 40%

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