Yakult Swallows

4 - 3

Yomiuri Giants

Sat, Apr 18, 2026 09:00 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 70%
D: 0%
Away: 30%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.92 - 2.27)
HOMETEAM: 52%
4%
AWAYTEAM: 44%

Yakult Swallows (Fact Index 1.92): Expected Win % is 52%, compared to a 62% actual win rate for identical index values.

Yomiuri Giants (Fact Index 2.27): Expected Win % is 44%, compared to a 38% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 62%
0%
AWAY : 38%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 50%
0%
Underdog : 50%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.0 - 4.0 (Model A.)
Yakult Swallows : 52% (-)
0% (▼ 4%)
Yomiuri Giants : 48% (▲ 4%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Yakult Swallows | 0.706 | 0.587 | ▼ 0.119
T | Yomiuri Giants | 0.588 | 0.533 | ▼ 0.055
H | Yakult Swallows | 0.750 | 0.640 | ▼ 0.110
A | Yomiuri Giants | 0.750 | 0.647 | ▼ 0.103
P | Yakult Swallows | 0.667 | 0.500 | ▼ 0.167
P | Yomiuri Giants | 0.667 | 0.649 | ▼ 0.018
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.1 - 3.0 (Model B.4)
Yakult Swallows : 55% (▲ 3%)
0% (▼ 4%)
Yomiuri Giants : 45% (▲ 1%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 2.1 - 1.7
Yakult Swallows : 45% (▼ 7%)
0% (▼ 4%)
Yomiuri Giants : 55% (▲ 11%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

Awayteam = 1.7 Trend:

HOME : 54%
D : 3%
AWAY : 43%

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