Promotion

Chicago White Sox

3 - 9

ALDS - Game 3, CHW lead series 2-1

Cleveland Guardians

Wed, Oct 7, 2026 20:00 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.69 - 2.44)
HOMETEAM: 59%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 41%

Weight: [Adjacent] (6.90)
Intensity: [Extreme] (93.10)

Chicago White Sox (Fact Index 1.69):
Expected Win % is 59%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 47% in this event.

Cleveland Guardians (Fact Index 2.44):
Expected Win % is 41%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 53% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Chicago White Sox:
T : 0.530 (0.540 / ▼0.010)
H : 0.593 (0.591 / ▲0.002)
A : 0.471 (0.493 / ▼0.022)
P : 0.833 (0.677 / ▲0.156)

Cleveland Guardians:
T : 0.518 (0.505 / ▲0.013)
H : 0.494 (0.479 / ▲0.015)
A : 0.543 (0.532 / ▲0.011)
P : 0.500 (0.586 / ▼0.086)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 47%
0%
AWAY : 53%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
0%
Underdog : 50%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 53%
0%
Underdog : 47%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.6 - 4.4 (Model A.)
Chicago White Sox : 54% (▼ 5%)
0% (-)
Cleveland Guardians : 46% (▲ 5%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 5.0 - 3.4 (Model B.4)
Chicago White Sox : 72% (▲ 13%)
0% (-)
Cleveland Guardians : 28% (▼ 13%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.8 - 2.0
Chicago White Sox : 52% (▼ 7%)
0% (-)
Cleveland Guardians : 48% (▲ 7%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (52%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (52%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%


User's choice

Voting has closed.

You're the first!

© 2020 - 2026 | Waveflow SportsLab | Terms of Use · Privacy Policy | All Rights Reserved.

©2026 Waveflow SportsLab
Terms of Use | Privacy Policy