Promotion

San Diego Padres

8 - 0

NLWC - Game 1, SD leads series 1-0

Chicago Cubs

Unstoppable San Diego Padres Clinch 3rd Straight Victory.

Wed, Sep 30, 2026 02:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 0%
Away: 60%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.08 - 1.92)
HOMETEAM: 48%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 52%

Weight: [Adjacent] (3.45)
Intensity: [Extreme] (96.55)

San Diego Padres (Fact Index 2.08):
Expected Win % is 48%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 53% in this event.

Chicago Cubs (Fact Index 1.92):
Expected Win % is 52%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 47% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

San Diego Padres:
T : 0.562 (0.528 / ▲0.034)
H : 0.630 (0.556 / ▲0.074)
A : 0.494 (0.504 / ▼0.010)
P : 0.667 (0.500 / ▲0.167)

Chicago Cubs:
T : 0.549 (0.586 / ▼0.037)
H : 0.568 (0.572 / ▼0.004)
A : 0.531 (0.600 / ▼0.069)
P : 0.333 (0.371 / ▼0.038)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 53%
0%
AWAY : 47%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 53%
10%
Underdog : 37%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 57%
10%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.2 - 5.0 (Model A.)
San Diego Padres : 50% (▲ 2%)
0% (-)
Chicago Cubs : 50% (▼ 2%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.5 - 7.1 (Model B.4)
San Diego Padres : 40% (▼ 8%)
0% (-)
Chicago Cubs : 60% (▲ 8%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.8 - 2.0
San Diego Padres : 53% (▲ 5%)
0% (-)
Chicago Cubs : 47% (▼ 5%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 63%
D : 0%
AWAY : 37%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (53%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (53%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%


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