Fukuoka S. Hawks

7 - 5

Nippon Ham Fighters

Fukuoka S. Hawks Secures 5th Straight: The Streak Continues. Meanwhile, A 2-game losing skid is plaguing Nippon Ham Fighters.

Wed, Aug 5, 2026 09:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 70%
D: 0%
Away: 30%

Home team Side

Away team Side

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.59 - 2.70)
HOMETEAM: 63%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 37%

Weight: [Close] (27.27)
Intensity: [Fierce] (72.73)

Fukuoka S. Hawks (Fact Index 1.59):
Expected Win % is 63%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 47% in this event.

Nippon Ham Fighters (Fact Index 2.70):
Expected Win % is 37%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 50% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Fukuoka S. Hawks:
T : 0.642 (0.658 / ▼0.016)
H : 0.653 (0.711 / ▼0.058)
A : 0.630 (0.605 / ▲0.025)
P : 0.833 (0.761 / ▲0.072)

Nippon Ham Fighters:
T : 0.560 (0.564 / ▼0.004)
H : 0.620 (0.598 / ▲0.022)
A : 0.500 (0.521 / ▼0.021)
P : 0.667 (0.752 / ▼0.085)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 47%
3%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 11 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 36%
0%
Underdog : 64%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 67%
0%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.7 - 3.6 (Model A.)
Fukuoka S. Hawks : 63% (-)
0% (-)
Nippon Ham Fighters : 37% (-)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.9 - 3.6 (Model B.4)
Fukuoka S. Hawks : 61% (▼ 2%)
0% (-)
Nippon Ham Fighters : 39% (▲ 2%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.7 - 2.1
Fukuoka S. Hawks : 56% (▼ 7%)
0% (-)
Nippon Ham Fighters : 44% (▲ 7%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 3%
AWAY : 47%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (56%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 3%
AWAY : 50%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 73%
D : 0%
AWAY : 27%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (56%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 67%
D : 0%
AWAY : 33%


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