Inter-League

Seibu Lions

4 - 1

Hiroshima Carp

Seibu Lions Clinches 5th Consecutive Victory. Meanwhile, Hiroshima Carp Away Woes Continue: 6th Straight Loss.

Thu, Jun 11, 2026 09:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.82 - 2.44)
HOMETEAM: 55%
4%
AWAYTEAM: 41%

Seibu Lions (Fact Index 1.82): Expected Win % is 55%, compared to a 100% actual win rate for identical index values.

Hiroshima Carp (Fact Index 2.44): Expected Win % is 41%, compared to a 0% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 6.0 - 2.5 (Model A.)
Seibu Lions : 69% (▲ 14%)
0% (▼ 4%)
Hiroshima Carp : 31% (▼ 10%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Seibu Lions | 0.627 | 0.617 | ▼ 0.010
T | Hiroshima Carp | 0.389 | 0.454 | ▲ 0.065
H | Seibu Lions | 0.600 | 0.626 | ▲ 0.026
A | Hiroshima Carp | 0.320 | 0.476 | ▲ 0.156
P | Seibu Lions | 0.833 | 0.724 | ▼ 0.109
P | Hiroshima Carp | 0.400 | 0.520 | ▲ 0.120
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 2.7 - 3.2 (Model B.4)
Seibu Lions : 46% (▼ 9%)
0% (▼ 4%)
Hiroshima Carp : 54% (▲ 13%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 95.2%)


Average Odds : 1.5 - 2.8
Seibu Lions : 65% (▲ 10%)
0% (▼ 4%)
Hiroshima Carp : 35% (▼ 6%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 60%
D : 0%
AWAY : 40%

Hometeam = 1.5 Trend:

HOME : 73%
D : 0%
AWAY : 27%

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