Chunichi Dragons

0 - 2

Hanshin Tigers

Wed, May 6, 2026 05:00 (UTC)


Facts

Chunichi Dragons :
Takahashi Hiroto (SP, L, 1-4, 3.20) 8.0, 7H, 1HR, 15K, 2BB, 2R, 2ER
Hanshin Tigers :
Takahashi Haruto (SP, W, 4-0, 0.21), 9.0, 2H, 10K, 0ER
2B: Morishita Shota
HR: Takatera Nozomu (1, 6th Takahashi Hiroto, 2R)
RBI: Takatera Nozomu 2
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 30%
D: 0%
Away: 70%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.38 - 1.75)
HOMETEAM: 42%
1%
AWAYTEAM: 57%

Chunichi Dragons (Fact Index 2.38): Expected Win % is 42%, compared to a 42% actual win rate for identical index values.

Hanshin Tigers (Fact Index 1.75): Expected Win % is 57%, compared to a 58% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 42%
0%
AWAY : 58%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 50%
17%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 6.0 - 5.0 (Model A.)
Chunichi Dragons : 51% (▲ 9%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Hanshin Tigers : 49% (▼ 8%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Chunichi Dragons | 0.355 | 0.427 | ▲ 0.072
T | Hanshin Tigers | 0.613 | 0.582 | ▼ 0.031
H | Chunichi Dragons | 0.500 | 0.500 | 0.000
A | Hanshin Tigers | 0.563 | 0.553 | ▼ 0.010
P | Chunichi Dragons | 0.500 | 0.538 | ▲ 0.038
P | Hanshin Tigers | 0.500 | 0.550 | ▲ 0.050
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.5 - 3.6 (Model B.4)
Chunichi Dragons : 49% (▲ 7%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Hanshin Tigers : 51% (▼ 6%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 2.2 - 1.7
Chunichi Dragons : 43% (▲ 1%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Hanshin Tigers : 57% (-)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 43%
D : 0%
AWAY : 57%

Awayteam = 1.7 Trend:

HOME : 60%
D : 0%
AWAY : 40%

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